histograms of margin by home/away status

margins by favourite/underdog status

margin vs probability - playoffs matches w/ regression line

margin vs probability - playoffs matches w/ local linear regression smoothing line

margin vs probability w/ regression, vertical & horizontal lines

series legend

series_no home away
1 Milwaukee Bucks Miami Heat
2 Los Angeles Clippers Dallas Mavericks
3 Brooklyn Nets Boston Celtics
4 Denver Nuggets Portland Trail Blazers
5 Philadelphia 76ers Washington Wizards
6 Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Lakers
7 New York Knicks Atlanta Hawks
8 Utah Jazz Memphis Grizzlies
9 Brooklyn Nets Milwaukee Bucks
10 Philadelphia 76ers Atlanta Hawks
11 Phoenix Suns Denver Nuggets
12 Utah Jazz Los Angeles Clippers
13 Phoenix Suns Los Angeles Clippers
14 Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta Hawks
15 Phoenix Suns Milwaukee Bucks

margin vs probability by series

margin vs probability by series label w/ game no - geom_line

margin vs probability by series label w/ game no - geom_path

margin vs probability by series label w/ game no + h/w status

UTA/LAC

series winners - home vs away

The LA Clippers, Atlanta Hawks and Milwaukee Bucks were the only lower seeded teams to win series in the ’21 NBA playoffs.